Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A3 - Round 6

Date: 5 February 2025, Wednesday


	Rio Branco de Americana		Francana

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.5	5.75
	1.47	3.71	6.39
				Watch
	1.67	3.3	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (2.35)	3.5 ↑ (3.18)	5.71 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Branco de Americana
58.2%

Draw
25.9%

Francana
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

28.7%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

27.8%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Branco de Americana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rio Branco de Americana's performance.

Francana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Branco de Americana than the current prediction. (-18.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rio Branco de Americana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francana than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	22.2%	11.1%

Rio Branco de Americana - Francana Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Rio Branco will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Francana will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rio Branco: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Gustavo ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Marcelinho ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', 🟥,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Rio Branco is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Francana is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Rio Branco won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Rio Branco won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Branco de Americana
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
01.02.25	Sertãozinho - Rio Branco de Americana	1:2 ✺
29.01.25	XV de Jaú - Rio Branco de Americana	0:2 ✺
26.01.25	Rio Branco de Americana - Rio Preto	1:1 ✺
22.01.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Rio Branco de Americana	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Rio Branco de Americana - EC São Bernardo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWTTW
- AA Francana
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
01.02.25	Lemense FC - Francana	1:1 ✺
29.01.25	Francana - Atlético Monte Azul	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Francana - Bandeirante	4:2 ✺
22.01.25	EC São Bernardo - Francana	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Francana - Sertãozinho	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
12.05.24	Francana - Rio Branco de Americana	1:2
04.05.24	Rio Branco de Americana - Francana	2:0
25.02.24	Francana - Rio Branco de Americana	3:0

Rio Branco de Americana - Francana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide