Match Info

Federation Cup

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Rafiq Uddin Bhuiyan Stadium (Mymensingh)


	Bangladesh Police		Bashundhara Kings

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	3.87	3.44	1.78
	1.00	1.00	1.02	Watch
	4	3.1	1.8
	4.23	3.42	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↓ (4.6)	2.74 ↓ (3.71)	1.59 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bangladesh Police
23.5%

Draw
28.1%

Bashundhara Kings
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.8%

24.6%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

23.4%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bangladesh Police has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Bashundhara Kings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bashundhara Kings might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bangladesh Police than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bashundhara Kings than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bashundhara Kings could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bangladesh Police - Bashundhara Kings Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', Paulo Henrique (Penalty Awarded),
45+8', 0 - 1, Dorielton (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
52', 0 - 2, Dorielton ⚽,
83', 0 - 3, Dorielton ⚽,
88', 0 - 4, Dorielton ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 4, Bablu M. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bangladesh Police won 2.

Bangladesh Police has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bashundhara Kings is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Bangladesh Police has had a series of home games.

In this match, Bashundhara Kings is the team to beat.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Bangladesh Police won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:29. (average 0.9:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bangladesh Police won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:21. (average 1:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bangladesh Police FC
Bangladesh BFL
17.04.26	Bangladesh Police - Abahani Limited	1:3 ✺
11.04.26	Bangladesh Police - Fortis	0:2 ✺
Bangladesh Federation Cup
07.04.26	Bangladesh Police - Fortis	2:1 ✺
Bangladesh BFL
13.03.26	Mohammedan - Bangladesh Police	1:1 ✺
06.03.26	Bangladesh Police - Brothers Union	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWTT
- Bashundhara Kings
Bangladesh BFL
17.04.26	Rahmatganj - Bashundhara Kings	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Bashundhara Kings - Arambagh Krira Sangha	2:1 ✺
Bangladesh Federation Cup
07.04.26	Arambagh Krira Sangha - Bashundhara Kings	0:5 ✺
Bangladesh BFL
14.03.26	Fortis - Bashundhara Kings	2:3 ✺
06.03.26	Bashundhara Kings - PWD SC	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Bangladesh BFL
20.12.25	Bangladesh Police - Bashundhara Kings	2:1
16.05.25	Bashundhara Kings - Bangladesh Police	0:1
03.01.25	Bangladesh Police - Bashundhara Kings	0:5
Bangladesh Federation Cup
31.12.24	Bangladesh Police - Bashundhara Kings	2:3
Bangladesh BFL
18.05.24	Bashundhara Kings - Bangladesh Police	2:2
10.02.24	Bangladesh Police - Bashundhara Kings	0:3
12.05.23	Bangladesh Police - Bashundhara Kings	2:1

Upcoming Matches