Match Info

BFL - Round 11

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: Rafiq Uddin Bhuiyan Stadium (Mymensingh)


	Mohammedan		Bangladesh Police

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.15	2.72
	2.33	3.3	2.81	Watch
	2.3	3	2.75
	2.33	3.1	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.61)	3.14 ↑ (3.12)	2.79 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mohammedan
38.9%

Draw
28.7%

Bangladesh Police
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

29.5%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mohammedan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Bangladesh Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Mohammedan - Bangladesh Police Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Mohammedan (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mohammedan (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hossain S. (G) 10. Boateng S. 4. Hasan M. (C) 3. Hasan Shanta M. J. 11. Hossain A. 21. Hossain S. 44. Keke E. 6. Mia R. 17. Muzaffarov M. 2. Topu S. A. 9. Uddin R.	1. Tushar R. (G) 6. Darboe F. 17. Faysal I. (C) 19. Ghalan A. 14. Mollah M. 34. Nirob S. 91. Odo M. 9. Paulo Henrique 11. Rabbi Hossen Rahul M. 29. Sakib A. 10. Tshering O.
Substitutes
12. Ahamed M. J. 22. Al-Hasan S. (G) 24. Asif A. 28. Babu H. R. 18. Dewan S. 5. Hossain R. 16. Jewel M. 15. Kabir Rana A. 25. Raju N. 20. Reza S. 30. Siddique T. (G) 14. Ur Rashid M.	15. Ahmed S. 28. Amirul Islam M. 7. Bablu M. 66. Bhuiyan A. (G) 71. Danilo Quipapa 44. Dorji S. 88. Hossain A. 2. Hossen I. 70. Jaman A. 77. Kumar Roy J. 96. Rahman S. 36. Rahman S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Paulo Henrique (Penalty Awarded),
42', 1 - 1, Muzaffarov M. ⚽, Hasan Shanta M. J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hossain A. ↓, Jewel M. ↑,
46', Uddin R. ↓, Babu H. R. ↑,
48', Hasan Shanta M. J. 🟨,
52', Hossain S. 🟨,
59', Odo M. 🟨,
66', Ghalan A. ↓, Bablu M. ↑,
67', Rabbi Hossen Rahul M. ↓, Jaman A. ↑,
77', Odo M. ↓, Danilo Quipapa ↑,
77', Mollah M. ↓, Amirul Islam M. ↑,
77', Babu H. R. ↓, Ur Rashid M. ↑,
86', Sakib A. ↓, Hossen I. ↑,
86', Mia R. ↓, Dewan S. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mohammedan won 4.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Mohammedan won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Mohammedan won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bangladesh Police	2	2	0	0	4:0	4	6
5	Mohammedan	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mohammedan Dhaka
Bangladesh BFL
07.03.26	Mohammedan - Fortis	1:2 ✺
02.01.26	Brothers Union - Mohammedan	0:0 ✺
27.12.25	Mohammedan - Rahmatganj	1:1 ✺
Bangladesh Federation Cup
23.12.25	Bashundhara Kings - Mohammedan	0:0 ✺
Bangladesh BFL
20.12.25	Mohammedan - Arambagh Krira Sangha	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTTTT
- Bangladesh Police FC
Bangladesh BFL
06.03.26	Bangladesh Police - Brothers Union	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Bangladesh Police - Rahmatganj	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Arambagh Krira Sangha - Bangladesh Police	0:3 ✺
20.12.25	Bangladesh Police - Bashundhara Kings	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	PWD SC - Bangladesh Police	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Bangladesh BFL
19.10.25	Bangladesh Police - Mohammedan	1:1
Bangladesh Federation Cup
23.09.25	Bangladesh Police - Mohammedan	2:3
Bangladesh BFL
02.05.25	Mohammedan - Bangladesh Police	3:1
20.12.24	Bangladesh Police - Mohammedan	1:3
Bangladesh Federation Cup
07.05.24	Mohammedan - Bangladesh Police	2:1
Bangladesh BFL
27.04.24	Mohammedan - Bangladesh Police	0:0
20.01.24	Bangladesh Police - Mohammedan	2:3

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