The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bangor 22.7%
Draw 24.4%
Ballymena United 52.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.5%
26.5%
47%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.8%
26.2%
46.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bangor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Ballymena United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ballymena United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bangor than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ballymena United than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ballymena United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Bangor - Ballymena United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Deane G. (G) 21. Boyd J. 4. Francis L. 6. Harrison L. (C) 7. Hassin L. 29. Hughes I. 5. Lynch H. 12. McCullough S. 20. McRoberts L. 3. Neale R. 23. Strachan M.
1. Walsh D. (G) 10. Allen C. 8. Archer J. 16. Clarke M. (C) 21. Hood J. 15. McCallion D. 7. McKee C. 9. Rutkowski I. 6. Sule F. 2. Toure D. 5. Whiteside S.
Substitutes
10. Cushnie B. 18. Devlin O. 16. Mitchell A. 8. Mulvenna T. 15. O'Mahony J. 24. Rodriguez J. 13. Solis Grogan P. (G)
. Breen D. (G) . Edogun S. . Leetch M. . Lyons-Foster K. . McConnell C. . Murray S. . Thorndike F.
Coaches
Feeney L.
Kearney O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
12', McCullough S. 🟨,
15', 0 - 1, Archer J. ⚽,
31', 0 - 2, Clarke M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', McCullough S. ↓, Mulvenna T. ↑,
55', 1 - 2, Francis L. ⚽,
68', McRoberts L. 🟨,
69', Boyd J. ↓, Cushnie B. ↑,
69', Harrison L. ↓, Devlin O. ↑,
70', Clarke M. ↓, Lyons-Foster K. ↑,
70', Hood J. ↓, Edogun S. ↑,
77', Rutkowski I. ↓, Thorndike F. ↑,
82', Hughes I. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
82', Strachan M. ↓, O'Mahony J. ↑,
86', McKee C. ↓, McConnell C. ↑,
88', Hassin L. 🟨,
89', 2 - 2, Mulvenna T. ⚽,
90+2', McRoberts L. 🟥,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
Bangor is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Ballymena United's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Bangor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Ballymena United has had a series of away games.
In this match, Ballymena United is the team to beat.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bangor won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Bangor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
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Deane G. (G) 
Hughes I. 
McRoberts L. 
Sule F. 
Rodriguez J. 
Lyons-Foster K. 
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