Match Info

Carioca 2 - Round 9

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday


	Bangu		Cabofriense

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.75	3
	2.37	2.91	3.13
				Watch
	2.35	2.82	3.15
	2.33	2.8	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.15)	2.82 ↓ (2.95)	3.12 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bangu
38.7%

Draw
32.2%

Cabofriense
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

31.8%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

31.4%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bangu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Cabofriense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bangu than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bangu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cabofriense than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Bangu - Cabofriense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', 1 - 0, Cristiano ⚽,
63', 2 - 0, Anderson Penna ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bangu won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Bangu will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Bangu won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bangu won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bangu AC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
21.06.25	Pérolas Negras - Bangu	1:1 ✺
14.06.25	Bangu - Americano Rio de Janeiro	1:1 ✺
08.06.25	Araruama - Bangu	0:1 ✺
04.06.25	Bangu - America RJ	0:1 ✺
01.06.25	Audax Rio - Bangu	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TTWLT
- AD Cabofriense
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
22.06.25	Cabofriense - Petrópolis	1:1 ✺
14.06.25	Resende - Cabofriense	1:0 ✺
08.06.25	São Gonçalo - Cabofriense	2:1 ✺
05.06.25	Cabofriense - Pérolas Negras	1:0 ✺
31.05.25	Americano Rio de Janeiro - Cabofriense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
07.11.20	Cabofriense - Bangu	2:1
03.10.20	Bangu - Cabofriense	2:2
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
01.07.20	Bangu - Cabofriense	1:0
31.01.19	Bangu - Cabofriense	1:0
04.02.18	Cabofriense - Bangu	0:2
05.04.15	Bangu - Cabofriense	3:0
05.02.14	Cabofriense - Bangu	3:2

Bangu - Cabofriense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide