Match Info

Carioca 2 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 3 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Lourival Gomes (Saquarema)


	Araruama		Bangu

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.65	2.3
	3.45	2.72	2.35
	3.47	2.69	2.35
	3.10	2.70	2.53	Watch
	3.34	2.73	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (2.95)	2.7 ↓ (3)	2.37 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Araruama
27.6%

Draw
33.9%

Bangu
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

30.2%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

30.9%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Araruama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Bangu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Araruama than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bangu than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Araruama - Bangu Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

1st leg.

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Araruama may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bangu might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Araruama won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Including home match between the teams, Araruama won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Araruama FC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
02.08.25	Araruama - São Gonçalo	N/A ✺
06.07.25	Araruama - America RJ	1:0 ✺
29.06.25	Audax Rio - Araruama	1:2 ✺
21.06.25	Araruama - Duque de Caxias	0:0 ✺
14.06.25	Olaria - Araruama	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.1 ?WWTW
- Bangu AC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
02.08.25	Bangu - Americano Rio de Janeiro	N/A ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
30.07.25	Campo Grande - Bangu	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
12.07.25	Bangu - Petrópolis	0:0 ✺
05.07.25	Resende - Bangu	0:2 ✺
28.06.25	Bangu - Cabofriense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 ?WTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
08.06.25	Araruama - Bangu	0:1

Araruama - Bangu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide