Match Info

NSW League One - Round 15

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday


	Bankstown City Lions		Newcastle Jets U23

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.8	2.92
	2.1	3.85	2.76
	2	3.93	2.95	Watch
	2.1	3.4	2.75
	2.01	3.76	2.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.99)	3.75 ↓ (3.9)	2.87 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bankstown City Lions
44.4%

Draw
24.1%

Newcastle Jets U23
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

23.5%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

22.8%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bankstown City Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Newcastle Jets U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bankstown City Lions than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Jets U23 than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Bankstown City Lions - Newcastle Jets U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
57', 1 - 1, ⚽,
89', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 9).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Bankstown City could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bankstown City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 3.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Bankstown City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bankstown City Lions
Australian NSW League One
08.05.26	Prospect United - Bankstown City Lions	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Bankstown City Lions - Inter Lions	0:3 ✺
24.04.26	Hurstville Zagreb - Bankstown City Lions	2:3 ✺
17.04.26	Bankstown City Lions - Hills United	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Canterbury Bankstown - Bankstown City Lions	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWWL
- Newcastle Jets U23
Australian NSW League One
09.05.26	Newcastle Jets U23 - Hakoah Sydney City East	3:5 ✺
02.05.26	Dulwich Hill - Newcastle Jets U23	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Central Coast Mariners U23 - Newcastle Jets U23	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Newcastle Jets U23 - Rydalmere Lions	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Hills United - Newcastle Jets U23	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NSW League One
09.08.25	Newcastle Jets U23 - Bankstown City Lions	1:4
26.04.25	Bankstown City Lions - Newcastle Jets U23	3:2

Bankstown City Lions - Newcastle Jets U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide