Match Info

NSW League One - Round 10

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Hills United		Newcastle Jets U23

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.7	2.82
	2.12	3.8	2.94
	2.29	3.82	2.53
	2	3.5	2.88
	2.11	3.92	2.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.73)	3.75 ↑ (3.7)	2.8 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hills United
43.1%

Draw
24.3%

Newcastle Jets U23
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

24.5%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

24%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hills United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hills United's performance.

Newcastle Jets U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newcastle Jets U23 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hills United than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hills United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Jets U23 than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newcastle Jets U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hills United - Newcastle Jets U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
82', 1 - 1, ⚽,
86', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 10).

Recent performances by Hills United have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Newcastle Jets U23 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Newcastle Jets U23 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Newcastle Jets U23 has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hills United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Hills United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hills United
Australian NSW League One
02.04.26	Hakoah Sydney City East - Hills United	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	Hills United - Inter Lions	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Northern Tigers - Hills United	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Hills United - Hurstville Zagreb	3:2 ✺
08.03.26	Prospect United - Hills United	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTTWW
- Newcastle Jets U23
Australian NSW League One
04.04.26	Newcastle Jets U23 - Western City Rangers	4:3 ✺
28.03.26	Newcastle Jets U23 - Northern Tigers	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Newcastle Jets U23 - Blacktown Spartans	3:3 ✺
15.03.26	Newcastle Jets U23 - Inter Lions	5:1 ✺
07.03.26	Macarthur Rams - Newcastle Jets U23	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NSW League One
14.06.25	Hills United - Newcastle Jets U23	2:0
01.03.25	Newcastle Jets U23 - Hills United	2:1

Hills United - Newcastle Jets U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide