Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 21

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Lokomotiv Stadium (Baranovichi)


	Baranovichi		BumProm Gomel

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.65	4.17
	2.25	3.2	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.97)	3.43 ↑ (3.1)	3.59 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baranovichi
46.9%

Draw
27.1%

BumProm Gomel
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

29.6%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

28%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baranovichi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

BumProm Gomel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baranovichi than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BumProm Gomel than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Baranovichi - BumProm Gomel Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Baranovichi (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Baranovichi (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Baranovichi (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Baranovichi (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perov D. (G) 77. Artyukh M. 22. Atrashkevich S. 4. Karpenya V. 14. Kirko I. 8. Lapun E. 10. Lebedev F. 19. Nekrashevich D. 29. Penchuk S. 30. Ryabykh N. 3. Vasilenko V.	13. Turkin N. (G) 14. Alshanik A. 27. Golenko D. 10. Gradoboev D. 69. Izhakovskiy S. 5. Kaplunov D. 17. Khalimonchikov D. 4. Kruzhilin S. 12. Ovsyanik N. 8. Zhestkin I. 59. Zhevnerenko A.
Substitutes
11. Anikeev V. 21. Baranovskiy T. 93. Dresmanis A. (G) 9. Galuza D. 2. Kendysh S. 7. Kirkitskiy K. 33. Litskevich M. 12. Mikhey E. 17. Shevchenko M. 5. Zhukovskiy A.	66. Absamadov S. 3. Denisenko D. 47. Dubrovskiy V. 91. Parmonov K. 1. Sadovsky D. 11. Shkolyar A. 9. Simonchik E. 79. Tseslyukevich P. 95. Velisevich D. 18. Vospukov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Kaplunov D. ⚽, Gradoboev D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 1 - 1, Lebedev F. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Vysshaya Liga and 8).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Recently, Baranovichi has had a series of home games.

Baranovichi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Baranovichi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Baranovichi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Baranovichi
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
17.08.25	Baranovichi - Dinamo Minsk 2	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Baranovichi - Belshina	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Slonim - Baranovichi	0:6 ✺
20.07.25	Baranovichi - Lida	3:2 ✺
Belarusian Cup
13.07.25	Baranovichi - ML Vitebsk	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWL
- FC BumProm Gomel
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
16.08.25	BumProm Gomel - Belarus U19	4:2 ✺
10.08.25	Uni X Labs Minsk - BumProm Gomel	0:0 ✺
03.08.25	BumProm Gomel - Osipovichi	1:1 ✺
06.07.25	BumProm Gomel - Dnyapro Mogilev	1:1 ✺
28.06.25	Orsha - BumProm Gomel	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
22.09.24	BumProm Gomel - Baranovichi	2:1
25.05.24	Baranovichi - BumProm Gomel	2:1
10.09.23	Baranovichi - BumProm Gomel	2:1

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