Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 14

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Central City Stadium (Orsha)


	Orsha		BumProm Gomel

	1	X	2
	4.95	4.05	1.54	Watch
	4.11	3.82	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.53 ↓ (5.21)	3.94 ↓ (4)	1.62 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orsha
20.2%

Draw
23.2%

BumProm Gomel
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

22.9%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

19.5%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orsha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

BumProm Gomel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orsha than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BumProm Gomel than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for BumProm Gomel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Makarov M. (G) 55. Absamadov S. 21. Bobchenok N. 7. Chernodarov A. 4. Irshev S. 70. Kalinovskiy M. 19. Nikoporenok E. 10. Rassolko P. (C) 27. Tikhonov I. 18. Volchenko N. 8. Zhestaryov M.	13. Turkin N. (G) 14. Alshanik A. 69. Izhakovskiy S. 17. Khalimonchikov D. 4. Kruzhilin S. 12. Ovsyanik N. 10. Parmonov K. 7. Sen I. 95. Velisevich D. 8. Zhestkin I. (C) 59. Zhevnerenko A.
Substitutes
6. Adamchik T. 76. Adygezalzade R. 3. Bulakhov S. 2. Korenkov Z. 33. Kravchenko R. (G) 80. Puninskiy V. 30. Safronov N. 11. Tamelo D. 91. Veras I. 1. Volodkov A. (G)	22. Chakur A. 3. Denisenko D. 47. Dubrovskiy V. 27. Golenko D. 99. Kalinchenko M. 5. Kaplunov D. 11. Shkolyar A. 9. Simonchik E. 1. Yarukov V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Parmonov K. ⚽, Zhestkin I. (A),
35', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Nikoporenok E. ↓, Puninskiy V. ↑,
56', Zhestaryov M. ↓, Tamelo D. ↑,
59', 🟨,
61', 0 - 2, Khalimonchikov D. ⚽,
73', Chernodarov A. 🟨,
76', Rassolko P. ↓, Adamchik T. ↑,
80', Alshanik A. ↓, Denisenko D. ↑,
80', Khalimonchikov D. ↓, Kaplunov D. ↑,
83', Tamelo D. 🟨,
84', Denisenko D. 🟨,
85', 0 - 3, Sen I. ⚽,
88', Zhestkin I. ↓, Simonchik E. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 8).

Orsha has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

BumProm's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Orsha may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Orsha has had a series of home games.

In this match, BumProm is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Orsha won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Orsha won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Orsha
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
22.06.25	Gomel 2 - Orsha	2:5 ✺
Belarusian Cup
17.06.25	Orsha - Dinamo Brest	1:8 ✺
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
12.06.25	Orsha - Dinamo Minsk 2	2:1 ✺
01.06.25	Orsha - Belshina	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Orsha - Lokomotiv Gomel	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WLWLT
- FC BumProm Gomel
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
23.06.25	Dinamo Minsk 2 - BumProm Gomel	0:2 ✺
Belarusian Cup
18.06.25	BumProm Gomel - Torpedo-BelAZ	0:2 ✺
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
14.06.25	BumProm Gomel - Belshina	0:2 ✺
25.05.25	Lida - BumProm Gomel	3:1 ✺
03.05.25	BumProm Gomel - Volna Pinsk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
27.07.24	Orsha - BumProm Gomel	1:0
29.10.23	BumProm Gomel - Orsha	2:2
24.06.23	Orsha - BumProm Gomel	2:2

Orsha - BumProm Gomel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide