Match Info

BRAZIL: Potiguar - First stage - Round 7

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday


	Baraúnas		Laguna

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.3
	3.3	3.2	2.06
	2.82	2.9	2.47
	2.91	3.13	2.35	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.25
	2.67	3.34	2.3
	3.55	3.25	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.68)	3.16 ↓ (3.3)	2.24 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baraúnas
30.5%

Draw
28.8%

Laguna
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

27.3%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

27.4%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baraúnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Laguna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baraúnas than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laguna than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Baraúnas - Laguna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Mamedio G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 1 - 1, Bill ⚽,
56', 1 - 2, Noninha ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Potiguar (First stage ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Baraúnas is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Laguna is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACEC Baraúnas
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
01.02.25	Força e Luz - Baraúnas	1:1 ✺
29.01.25	Baraúnas - ABC	0:1 ✺
26.01.25	Potiguar - Baraúnas	2:0 ✺
19.01.25	Baraúnas - Globo FC	2:0 ✺
15.01.25	Santa Cruz de Natal - Baraúnas	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 TLLWL
- Club Laguna
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
02.02.25	Santa Cruz de Natal - Laguna	1:1 ✺
29.01.25	Laguna - Potiguar	3:2 ✺
26.01.25	Laguna - Globo FC	5:0 ✺
18.01.25	América RN - Laguna	0:0 ✺
15.01.25	Laguna - Força e Luz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TWWTT

Baraúnas - Laguna: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide