Match Info

BRAZIL: Cearense - Relegation - Round 1

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Inaldao (Barbalha)


	Barbalha		Floresta

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.55	1.81
	3.5	3.62	1.79
	3.82	3.67	1.81	Watch
	4.31	3.62	1.75
	3.6	3.55	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↓ (4.96)	3.6 ↓ (3.77)	1.79 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Barbalha
24.1%

Draw
25.2%

Floresta
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.3%

24.1%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

23.1%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barbalha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barbalha's performance.

Floresta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Floresta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barbalha than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Barbalha - Floresta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. dos Santos Vila Nova A. (G) 2. Biel 6. Diego Eduardo 11. Erikin 8. Gabriel Silva 5. Italo 7. Leo Pimenta 4. Levi 3. Renan 10. Romarinho (C) 9. Vitor Ribeiro	12. Wilderk (G) 21. Allefe 11. Andrew 16. Davi Castro 26. Fernando 8. Guilherme Araujo 31. Icaro 5. Lucas Goncalves 2. Mateus Ludke 15. Rodrigo 20. Vitinho
Substitutes
14. Aldair Alagoano 15. Amaro Dantas A. Y. 13. Bruno Kayke 18. Cajaiba 20. Denis 1. Felipe Voador (G) 19. Gabriel Luna (G) 17. Guilherme 16. Kauan 22. Valencia L. (G)	14. Arilson 1. Cesar (G) 25. Diogo Mourao 3. Joao Pedro 18. Joao Vitor 19. Marcelo Maia 6. Rafael Furlan 13. Rafael Luiz 27. Rikelme

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Lucas Goncalves 🟨,
39', Levi 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Arilson 🟨,
58', Gabriel Silva 🟨,
69', Renan 🟨,
82', 🟨,
85', 1 - 0, Gabriel Silva ⚽,
90+6', 🟨,
90+7', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Barbalha is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Floresta is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Floresta is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barbalha won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1.8:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Barbalha won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barbalha FC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
08.02.25	Maracanã - Barbalha	4:1 ✺
02.02.25	Ceará - Barbalha	5:0 ✺
28.01.25	Barbalha - Horizonte	1:1 ✺
23.01.25	Barbalha - Cariri	3:1 ✺
19.01.25	Floresta - Barbalha	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTWL
- Floresta EC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
08.02.25	Tirol - Floresta	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	Floresta - Fortaleza	0:1 ✺
29.01.25	Floresta - Ferroviário Fortaleza	3:3 ✺
25.01.25	Iguatu - Floresta	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Floresta - Barbalha	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
19.01.25	Floresta - Barbalha	3:1
09.02.24	Floresta - Barbalha	0:0
05.01.20	Barbalha - Floresta	5:0
28.02.19	Floresta - Barbalha	1:0
24.01.19	Barbalha - Floresta	3:2

Upcoming Matches