Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 17 - ROUND 12

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday


	Barbastro		Cariñena

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.6	5.25
	1.55	3.35	4.9
	1.53	3.5	5.2
	1.54	3.57	5.42
	1.53	3.5	5.8
	1.52	3.8	5.6
	1.57	3.6	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.44)	3.56 ↓ (3.9)	5.38 ↓ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barbastro
58.2%

Draw
25.2%

Cariñena
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

22.8%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

13.8%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barbastro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Cariñena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barbastro than the current prediction. (-20.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barbastro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cariñena than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cariñena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Barbastro - Cariñena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Barbastro is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cariñena has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Barbastro is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Barbastro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Barbastro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Barbastro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
20.11.22	Illueca - Barbastro	2:1 ✺
09.11.22	Barbastro - Atlético Monzón	0:0 ✺
06.11.22	Tamarite - Barbastro	2:0 ✺
30.10.22	Barbastro - Almudévar	2:0 ✺
23.10.22	Épila - Barbastro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLWL
- CD Cariñena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
20.11.22	Cariñena - Binéfar	3:4 ✺
09.11.22	Robres - Cariñena	4:0 ✺
06.11.22	Cariñena - Huesca B	0:3 ✺
29.10.22	Ejea - Cariñena	6:1 ✺
22.10.22	Cariñena - Caspe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
27.02.22	Cariñena - Barbastro	1:0
24.10.21	Barbastro - Cariñena	0:2

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