Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 17 - ROUND 12

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday


	Cariñena		Binéfar

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.05
	2.92	3.33	2.16
	2.93	3.33	2.16
	3.04	3.28	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (3.43)	3.29 ↑ (3.23)	2.13 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cariñena
30.3%

Draw
27.4%

Binéfar
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

27.7%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

26.9%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cariñena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Binéfar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cariñena than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Binéfar than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Binéfar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Cariñena is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Binéfar is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Binéfar will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cariñena won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Cariñena won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cariñena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
19.11.23	Borja - Cariñena	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Cariñena - Calamocha	3:2 ✺
05.11.23	Épila - Cariñena	3:1 ✺
29.10.23	Cariñena - Caspe	0:1 ✺
22.10.23	Belchite - Cariñena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLLL
- CD Binéfar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
19.11.23	Binéfar - Cuarte	3:0 ✺
12.11.23	Binéfar - Huesca B	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	Borja - Binéfar	0:1 ✺
29.10.23	Binéfar - Calamocha	0:1 ✺
22.10.23	Épila - Binéfar	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
19.03.23	Binéfar - Cariñena	3:1
20.11.22	Cariñena - Binéfar	3:4
02.02.22	Binéfar - Cariñena	3:3
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
08.04.18	Cariñena - Binéfar	1:2
05.11.17	Binéfar - Cariñena	0:3

Cariñena - Binéfar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide