Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 17 - ROUND 28

Date: 1 April 2023, Saturday


	Barbastro		Caspe

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.7	4.8
	1.53	3.56	4.84
	1.61	3.7	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.53)	3.65 ↑ (3.56)	4.88 ↑ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barbastro
57.2%

Draw
24.5%

Caspe
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

24.6%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

23.1%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barbastro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Caspe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barbastro than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caspe than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 17 (Play Offs: ) and 13).

Barbastro is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Caspe is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Barbastro is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Barbastro to win the game is with odds 1.57.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Barbastro won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Barbastro won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Barbastro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
26.03.23	Cariñena - Barbastro	0:2 ✺
19.03.23	Barbastro - Illueca	2:1 ✺
12.03.23	Atlético Monzón - Barbastro	0:2 ✺
05.03.23	Barbastro - Tamarite	3:0 ✺
26.02.23	Almudévar - Barbastro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWL
- CD Caspe
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
26.03.23	Caspe - Binéfar	2:1 ✺
18.03.23	Robres - Caspe	2:0 ✺
12.03.23	Caspe - Huesca B	3:1 ✺
05.03.23	Ejea - Caspe	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	Calamocha - Caspe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
04.12.22	Caspe - Barbastro	1:1
14.04.22	Barbastro - Caspe	0:0
11.12.21	Caspe - Barbastro	2:3

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