Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Calamocha		Caspe

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.92	3.55
	2.11	2.86	3.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.12)	2.89 ↑ (2.85)	3.58 ↓ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calamocha
43.5%

Draw
31.3%

Caspe
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

32.2%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

31.2%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calamocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Caspe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calamocha than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caspe than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Calamocha - Caspe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
84', 0 - 1, ⚽,
84', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calamocha won 1.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Calamocha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Calamocha could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Calamocha won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Calamocha won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Calamocha
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
16.11.25	Binéfar - Calamocha	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Calamocha - Casetas	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	Zuera - Calamocha	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Calamocha - La Almunia	1:3 ✺
19.10.25	Épila - Calamocha	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWLW
- CD Caspe
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
16.11.25	Caspe - Huesca B	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Cuarte - Caspe	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Caspe - Illueca	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Caspe - Robres	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Binéfar - Caspe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
18.02.24	Caspe - Calamocha	2:1
01.10.23	Calamocha - Caspe	2:0
26.02.23	Calamocha - Caspe	1:1
30.10.22	Caspe - Calamocha	1:0
10.04.22	Caspe - Calamocha	2:1
05.12.21	Calamocha - Caspe	0:1

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