Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 15

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Barbastro		Ibiza Islas Pitiusas

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.82	3.55
	2.15	2.94	3.75
	2.14	2.84	3.74	Watch
	2.15	2.75	3.6
	2.15	2.81	3.59
	2.08	2.9	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.45)	2.84 ↓ (2.9)	3.66 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barbastro
42.9%

Draw
32.1%

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

31.7%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

31.5%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barbastro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barbastro's performance.

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ibiza Islas Pitiusas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barbastro than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barbastro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza Islas Pitiusas than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ibiza Islas Pitiusas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Barbastro - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ibiza Islas Pitiusas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Iribarren E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 1 - 1, Marquitos (Penalty Awarded),
90', 1 - 2, Busi L. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Barbastro has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Barbastro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Barbastro - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.53%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Barbastro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
06.12.25	Castellon B - Barbastro	1:3 ✺
30.11.25	Barbastro - Barcelona B	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Reus FC Reddis - Barbastro	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Girona B - Barbastro	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Barbastro - Terrassa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WLTTL
- Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
07.12.25	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Torrent	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Poblense - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Girona B	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Reus FC Reddis	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Sant Andreu - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTWWL

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