Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 13

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday


	Poblense		Ibiza Islas Pitiusas

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.92	3.85
	1.94	3.05	4.4
	2.06	2.87	3.95	Watch
	1.96	2.93	4.03
	1.96	2.9	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.76)	2.93 ↓ (3.33)	4.09 ↓ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poblense
46.3%

Draw
31.3%

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

27.3%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

26.9%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poblense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Poblense's form might have worsened.

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poblense than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Poblense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza Islas Pitiusas than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Poblense - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Poblense is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Poblense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Poblense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Poblense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
23.11.25	Atlético Baleares - Poblense	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Poblense - Valencia B	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Reus FC Reddis - Poblense	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Poblense - Barbastro	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Poblense - Sabadell	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWWWL
- Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
23.11.25	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Girona B	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Reus FC Reddis	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Sant Andreu - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Alcoyano	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Andratx - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
14.04.24	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Poblense	2:1
25.11.23	Poblense - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1:2
Club Friendly
27.09.20	Poblense - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1:0

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