The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barcia 14.3%
Draw 21.6%
Tuilla 64%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.6%
23.3%
59.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.3%
22.9%
60.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Tuilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcia than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tuilla than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )).
Barcia has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Tuilla is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Tuilla is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Tuilla to win the game is with odds 1.53.