Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 13

Date: 2 December 2023, Saturday


	Luarca		Tuilla

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.2
	3.69	3.54	1.81
	3.6	3.47	1.85
	3.8	3.65	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (3.15)	3.44 ↑ (3.11)	1.91 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luarca
26%

Draw
26.4%

Tuilla
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

29%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

29.4%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Tuilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tuilla's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luarca than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tuilla than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )).

Luarca is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Tuilla is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tuilla will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Luarca won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Luarca won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luarca CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
25.11.23	Sporting de Gijón B - Luarca	5:0 ✺
19.11.23	Luarca - Condal	3:0 ✺
12.11.23	Colunga - Luarca	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Luarca - Real Titánico	4:1 ✺
29.10.23	Barcia - Luarca	1:3
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWTWW
- Tuilla
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
26.11.23	Tuilla - Avilés Stadium	1:1 ✺
19.11.23	Llanera - Tuilla	2:0 ✺
12.11.23	Tuilla - Praviano	2:0 ✺
05.11.23	Lealtad - Tuilla	2:2 ✺
29.10.23	Tuilla - Gijón Industrial	3:1
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.6 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
12.03.23	Tuilla - Luarca	1:0
06.11.22	Luarca - Tuilla	3:1
13.04.22	Tuilla - Luarca	3:4
05.12.21	Luarca - Tuilla	2:1

Luarca - Tuilla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide