Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 7

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Barco		Sarriana

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.00	2.65
	2.39	3.19	2.78
	2.46	3.22	2.7	Watch
	2.35	3.00	2.75
	2.50	3.27	2.66
	2.35	3.15	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.89)	3.14 ↓ (3.2)	2.69 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barco
37.8%

Draw
28.7%

Sarriana
33.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.8%

28.7%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barco's performance.

Sarriana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sarriana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Playoffs and 4th in the Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Playoffs).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Sarriana	8	4	2	2	15:12	3	14
7	Barco	8	3	3	2	9:8	1	12

Last Results with these Odds

Sarriana - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 39.56%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Barco
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
27.09.26	Lalín - Barco	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Barco - Portonovo	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Barco - Silva SD	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.26	UD Ourense - Barco	2:0 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
10.05.26	Estradense - Barco	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWLLL
- SD Sarriana
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
26.09.26	Sarriana - Gran Peña	3:2 ✺
20.09.26	Alondras - Sarriana	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Sarriana - Viveiro	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Estradense - Sarriana	1:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
03.05.26	Sarriana - Rayo Cantabria	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWL

Barco - Sarriana