Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 34

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Sarriana		Rayo Cantabria

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	2.82
	2.16	3.55	2.95
	2.22	3.29	3	Watch
	2.19	3.76	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.61)	3.5 ↑ (3.11)	2.91 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarriana
42.2%

Draw
26.3%

Rayo Cantabria
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

29.6%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

29.8%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarriana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sarriana's performance.

Rayo Cantabria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarriana than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarriana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Cantabria than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Sarriana - Rayo Cantabria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Mascaro P. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Fernandez S. G. ⚽,
28', 1 - 2, Solorzano Diestro M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
61', 1 - 3, Argos A. ⚽,
64', 1 - 4, Argos A. ⚽,
78', 2 - 4, Claveria M. ⚽,
85', 3 - 4, Claveria M. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Recent performances by Sarriana have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rayo Cantabria is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sarriana could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sarriana won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Rayo Cantabria	5	0	1	4	3:11	-8	1

Last Results with these Odds

Rayo Cantabria - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.22%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Sarriana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.04.26	Atlético Astorga - Sarriana	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Sarriana - Marino de Luanco	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Bergantiños - Sarriana	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Sarriana - Sámano	4:0 ✺
29.03.26	Numancia - Sarriana	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LLWWT
- Deportivo Rayo Cantabria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.04.26	Rayo Cantabria - Real Ávila	4:1 ✺
19.04.26	Coruxo - Rayo Cantabria	3:1 ✺
12.04.26	Rayo Cantabria - Atlético Astorga	3:2 ✺
05.04.26	Salamanca - Rayo Cantabria	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Rayo Cantabria - Real Oviedo B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.11.25	Rayo Cantabria - Sarriana	2:0

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