Match Info

INDONESIA: Liga 1 - Round 33

Date: 25 April 2024, Thursday

Location: Demang Lehman Stadium (Martapura)

Referee: Rohaendii N. (Ina)


	Barito Putera		Bhayangkara

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.7	3.2
	1.9	3.75	3.25	Watch
	1.94	3.9	3.39
	1.85	3.61	3.39
	1.88	3.89	3.44	Watch
	1.89	3.45	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.75)	3.72 ↓ (3.78)	3.41 ↓ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barito Putera
48.6%

Draw
24.6%

Bhayangkara
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

24.2%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

23.4%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barito Putera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Bhayangkara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barito Putera than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barito Putera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bhayangkara than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Barito Putera - Bhayangkara Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Barito Putera will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Bhayangkara will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Norhalid N. (G) 92. Saputra F. 85. Firly M. 6. De Murga C. 28. Lessy B. 13. Pradana B. 95. Ott Mi. 26. Ripora R. (C) 98. Eksel R. 31. Murilo 11. Tocantins	1. Savik A. (G) 2. Gede P. 4. Salles A. (C) 26. Satria A. 5. Rochman M. 37. Arifin Z. 81. Herrera M. 23. Subo W. 66. Maulana D. 33. Mier M. 21. Agung T.
Substitutes
3. Aditya Y. 66. Aziz A. 29. Gwijangge I. 20. Kahfi B. 23. Kipuw H. 19. Mahendra I. 14. Nurzaidin N. 32. Rizky E. (G) 77. Siringo Ringo N. 27. Zuhro Ussurur M. R.	35. Ahmad A. 27. Ardhiyaksa I. 29. Kusuma R. 15. Maulana M. S. 7. Ragil M. 12. Raharjo A. (G) 6. Rama A. R. 20. Rizki S. 94. Sabil 28. Sanda A.
Coaches
Darmawan R.	Abus E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', Subo W. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Mier M. ⚽,
36', Rochman M. 🟨,
37', Murilo 🟨,
38', 0 - 2, Maulana D. ⚽, Gede P. (A),
45+1', Salles A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Ripora R. ↓, Kahfi B. ↑,
46', Murilo ↓, Kipuw H. ↑,
46', Agung T. ↓, Rizki S. ↑,
46', Rochman M. ↓, Rama A. R. ↑,
48', 0 - 3, Mier M. ⚽, Rama A. R. (A),
51', Rama A. R. 🟨,
57', 1 - 3, Eksel R. ⚽, Lessy B. (A),
58', 1 - 4, Maulana D. ⚽, Mier M. (A),
60', Ott Mi. 🟨,
70', 1 - 5, Mier M. ⚽,
72', Arifin Z. ↓, Kusuma R. ↑,
78', Kahfi B. 🟨,
78', De Murga C. ↓, Siringo Ringo N. ↑,
79', Firly M. ↓, Aditya Y. ↑,
88', Maulana D. ↓, Ahmad A. ↑,
88', Satria A. ↓, Sabil ↑,
90', Lessy B. ↓, Gwijangge I. ↑,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Bhayangkara is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barito Putera won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Barito Putera will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Barito Putera won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Barito Putera won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PS Barito Putera
Indonesian Super League
21.04.24	Barito Putera - Persija Jakarta	2:2 ✺
17.04.24	RANS Nusantara - Barito Putera	1:1 ✺
29.03.24	Barito Putera - PSIS Semarang	0:0 ✺
15.03.24	Barito Putera - PSM Makassar	3:1 ✺
09.03.24	Persis Solo - Barito Putera	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTTWL
- Bhayangkara FC
Indonesian Super League
20.04.24	Bali United Pusam - Bhayangkara	2:1 ✺
16.04.24	Bhayangkara - Persik Kediri	7:0 ✺
28.03.24	Persib Bandung - Bhayangkara	0:0 ✺
16.03.24	Bhayangkara - Dewa United	2:3 ✺
06.03.24	Arema - Bhayangkara	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
21.10.23	Bhayangkara - Barito Putera	1:1
05.04.23	Bhayangkara - Barito Putera	1:1
20.12.22	Barito Putera - Bhayangkara	2:0
01.02.22	Bhayangkara - Barito Putera	2:1
03.10.21	Barito Putera - Bhayangkara	2:3
18.09.19	Barito Putera - Bhayangkara	1:4
28.05.19	Bhayangkara - Barito Putera	4:2

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