Match Info

Super League - Round 16

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday

Location: PTIK Stadium (Jakarta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Indosiar, Vidio


	Bhayangkara		Dewa United

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.05	2.08	Watch
	3.27	3.42	2.12	Watch
	3.25	3.1	2.1
	3.25	3.16	2.1	Watch
	3.25	3.2	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.99)	3.19 ↓ (3.41)	2.1 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bhayangkara
28%

Draw
28.6%

Dewa United
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

27.2%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

25.9%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bhayangkara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Dewa United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bhayangkara than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dewa United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	42.9%	28.6%

Bhayangkara - Dewa United Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Bhayangkara will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Dewa United will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Bhayangkara (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Bhayangkara (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Bhayangkara (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Savik A. (G) 2. Gede P. 11. Andika F. 15. Damjanovic S. 4. Sadiki N. 16. Sadat F. 5. Moises Gaucho 20. Rizki S. 30. Ilic C. 23. Subo W. (C) 58. Missa F.	92. Stevens S. (G) 11. Marukawa T. 2. Kuipers N. 6. Numberi T. 12. Nurviat R. 14. Fatari B. 10. Vikri E. 19. Kambuaya R. (C) 39. Alex 28. Messidoro A. 97. Febriansyah E.
Substitutes
21. Agung T. 7. Belleggia L. 41. Ferarri M. 25. Florasta E. 8. Ginanjar 29. Handika R. (G) 19. Ichsan T. 18. Kusnandar D. 3. Leo Silva 31. Plazonja S. 9. Spasojevic I. 45. Syawal R.	20. Bagaskara S. 37. Ballah A. 41. Cassio Scheid 5. Lilipaly S. 1. Natshir M. (G) 3. Prasetyo W. 16. Rizky K. 23. Setiawan A. 27. Struick R.
Coaches
Munster P.	Riekerink J. O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Andika F. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Sadat F. ⚽, Moises Gaucho (A),
45+2', Messidoro A. ↓, Lilipaly S. ↑,
45+4', Subo W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ilic C. ↓, Ichsan T. ↑,
51', Subo W. 🟨,
52', Febriansyah E. 🟨,
56', Kambuaya R. 🟨,
62', Febriansyah E. ↓, Ballah A. ↑,
62', Numberi T. ↓, Struick R. ↑,
63', Nurviat R. ↓, Prasetyo W. ↑,
63', Sadat F. ↓, Spasojevic I. ↑,
67', Ballah A. 🟨,
70', Andika F. ↓, Ferarri M. ↑,
73', Ichsan T. 🟨,
77', Lilipaly S. 🟨,
78', Missa F. ↓, Belleggia L. ↑,
81', Moises Gaucho ↓, Leo Silva ↑,
81', Fatari B. ↓, Bagaskara S. ↑,
90+4', Prasetyo W. 🟨,
90+5', Rizki S. 🟨,
90+10', Struick R. 🟥,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 14).

Recent form of Bhayangkara has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dewa United has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bhayangkara won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bhayangkara won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Dewa United	4	3	1	0	8:4	4	10
8	FC Bhayangkara	3	1	2	0	5:3	2	5

Last Results with these Odds

Dewa United - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.78%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bhayangkara FC
Indonesian Super League
29.12.25	Persija Jakarta - Bhayangkara	3:0 ✺
21.12.25	Persib Bandung - Bhayangkara	2:0 ✺
28.11.25	Bhayangkara - Persebaya Surabaya	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	PSIM Yogyakarta - Bhayangkara	1:0 ✺
07.11.25	Bhayangkara - Bali United Pusam	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLTLW
- Dewa United
Indonesian Super League
29.12.25	Bali United Pusam - Dewa United	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Dewa United - Persis Solo	5:1 ✺
29.11.25	Dewa United - Persita Tangerang	1:0 ✺
21.11.25	Persib Bandung - Dewa United	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Dewa United - PSM Makassar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
16.03.24	Bhayangkara - Dewa United	2:3
15.09.23	Dewa United - Bhayangkara	2:2
28.01.23	Bhayangkara - Dewa United	1:1
14.08.22	Dewa United - Bhayangkara	2:0

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