Match Info

Motsepe Foundation Championship - Round 21

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Old Peter Mokaba Stadium (Polokwane)


	Baroka		Hungry Lions

	1	X	2
	2.02	2.98	3.55
	2	3.11	3.59
	2.01	3.12	3.64	Watch
	2	2.8	3.6
	2.02	3.02	3.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 (2.01)	3.01 ↓ (3.12)	3.6 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baroka
44.9%

Draw
30%

Hungry Lions
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

29.3%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

30.9%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baroka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

The chances for Hungry Lions have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baroka than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hungry Lions than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Baroka - Hungry Lions Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Baroka (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baroka won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Baroka could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Baroka won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Baroka won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Hungry Lions	5	1	3	1	6:5	1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baroka FC
South African First Division
08.03.26	Venda - Baroka	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	University of Pretoria - Baroka	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Baroka - The Bees	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Black Leopards - Baroka	1:1 ✺
28.01.26	Baroka - Highbury	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLWTT
- Hungry Lions FC
South African First Division
07.03.26	Hungry Lions - Lerumo Lions	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Black Leopards - Hungry Lions	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Hungry Lions - Casric Stars	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	The Bees - Hungry Lions	1:2 ✺
28.01.26	Kruger United - Hungry Lions	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

South African First Division
25.10.25	Hungry Lions - Baroka	2:0
18.01.25	Baroka - Hungry Lions	1:1
27.04.24	Hungry Lions - Baroka	1:2
04.11.23	Baroka - Hungry Lions	2:0
07.05.23	Baroka - Hungry Lions	1:0
South African Nedbank Cup
23.02.20	Baroka - Hungry Lions	3:2 penalties

Baroka - Hungry Lions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide