Match Info

SOUTH AFRICA: Motsepe Foundation Championship - Round 28

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Old Peter Mokaba Stadium (Polokwane)


	Baroka		Marumo Gallants

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.3	5.25
	1.65	3.4	5
	1.66	3.49	5.18
	1.63	3.2	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.63)	3.35 ↓ (3.38)	5.31 ↓ (5.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baroka
55.7%

Draw
27.2%

Marumo Gallants
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

27.2%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

26.7%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baroka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Marumo Gallants has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baroka than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marumo Gallants than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Kgosietsile K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 2 - 0, Ndlovu D. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Baroka won 1.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Baroka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Baroka is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Baroka won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Baroka won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baroka FC
South African First Division
30.04.24	Upington City - Baroka	0:1 ✺
27.04.24	Hungry Lions - Baroka	1:2 ✺
16.04.24	La Masia - Baroka	0:0 ✺
03.04.24	Baroka - Orbit College	2:1 ✺
10.03.24	Baroka - Venda	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWTWL
- Marumo Gallants
South African First Division
01.05.24	Marumo Gallants - Black Leopards	1:0 ✺
28.04.24	Marumo Gallants - Platinum City Rovers	3:0 ✺
19.04.24	Durban City - Marumo Gallants	0:1 ✺
16.04.24	Milford - Marumo Gallants	1:1 ✺
07.04.24	Marumo Gallants - JDR Stars	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

South African First Division
27.10.23	Marumo Gallants - Baroka	1:1
South African Nedbank Cup
09.04.22	Marumo Gallants - Baroka	1:0
South African Premier Soccer League
02.03.22	Marumo Gallants - Baroka	3:0
21.08.21	Baroka - Marumo Gallants	2:0
18.05.21	Baroka - Marumo Gallants	0:0
22.11.20	Marumo Gallants - Baroka	1:0

Baroka - Marumo Gallants: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide