Match Info

Motsepe Foundation Championship - Round 14

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Old Peter Mokaba Stadium (Polokwane)


	Baroka		Venda

	1	X	2
	2.52	2.78	2.82
	2.61	2.79	2.91
	2.59	2.78	2.88	Watch
	2.5	2.7	2.8
	2.53	2.78	2.79
	2.5	2.83	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.59)	2.78 (2.78)	2.83 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baroka
35.6%

Draw
32.5%

Venda
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

32.9%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

33.4%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baroka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Venda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baroka than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venda than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Baroka - Venda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 12).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baroka won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Baroka won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baroka FC
South African First Division
29.11.25	Baroka - Black Leopards	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Leicesterford City - Baroka	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Baroka - Lerumo Lions	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Baroka - Cape Town City	3:1 ✺
28.10.25	Upington City - Baroka	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTLWL
- Venda FA
South African First Division
29.11.25	Venda - Kruger United	1:3 ✺
21.11.25	Venda - Black Leopards	1:0 ✺
07.11.25	Highbury - Venda	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Venda - University of Pretoria	0:0 ✺
29.10.25	Casric Stars - Venda	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

South African First Division
01.02.25	Venda - Baroka	5:1
07.12.24	Baroka - Venda	4:2
10.03.24	Baroka - Venda	0:1
08.10.23	Venda - Baroka	0:1
18.02.23	Baroka - Venda	3:1

Baroka - Venda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide