Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Barquereño		Laredo

	1	X	2
	3.65	3.25	1.88
	25.00	14.10	1.00	Watch
	3.93	3.32	1.83
	3.65	3.45	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.06 ↑ (3.65)	6.03 ↑ (3.45)	1.65 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barquereño
12.5%

Draw
18.8%

Laredo
68.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

26.5%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

26.1%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barquereño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barquereño's form might have worsened.

Laredo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Laredo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barquereño than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barquereño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laredo than the current prediction. (-19.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Laredo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Barquereño - Laredo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
1', 0 - 1, Carral A. ⚽,
21', 0 - 2, Gonzalez V. ⚽,
31', 0 - 3, Gonzalez V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
52', 0 - 4, Carral A. ⚽,
54', 0 - 5, de la Pena M. ⚽,
71', 0 - 6, Abad M. ⚽,
79', 1 - 6, Guijarro A. ⚽,
90', 1 - 7, Helguera O. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 8).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Barquereño may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Laredo is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Barquereño won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Barquereño won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Barquereño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
15.11.25	Bezana - Barquereño	1:3 ✺
09.11.25	Barquereño - Torina	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Atlético Albericia - Barquereño	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Noja - Barquereño	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Barquereño - Castro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLLTT
- CD Laredo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
09.11.25	Castro - Laredo	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Laredo - Cayón	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Montañas del Pas - Laredo	3:3 ✺
18.10.25	Laredo - Escobedo	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Vimenor - Laredo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
01.02.20	Laredo - Barquereño	1:1
11.09.19	Barquereño - Laredo	0:2

Barquereño - Laredo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide