Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 25

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday


	Barquereño		Noja

	1	X	2
	2.08	3	3.3
	2.11	3.15	3.41
	2.1	3.18	3.37
	2.1	2.9	3.3
	2.07	3.13	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.11)	3.07 (3.07)	3.35 ↓ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barquereño
43.4%

Draw
29.5%

Noja
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

29.7%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

28.9%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Barquereño have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Noja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barquereño than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noja than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Barquereño - Noja Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 15)

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Barquereño may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Barquereño might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Barquereño won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	CD Barquereno	5	0	1	4	2:11	-9	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Barquereño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
04.03.26	Montañas del Pas - Barquereño	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Castro - Barquereño	2:1 ✺
25.02.26	Barquereño - Tropezón	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Barquereño - Escobedo	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Vimenor - Barquereño	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TLWLL
- Noja
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
01.03.26	Noja - Atlético Albericia	2:5 ✺
25.02.26	Noja - Vimenor	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Noja - Montañas del Pas	3:0 ✺
18.01.26	Tropezón - Noja	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Cartes - Noja	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
26.10.25	Noja - Barquereño	0:0

Barquereño - Noja: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide