Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Barquereño		Revilla

	1	X	2
	2.72	3	2.42
	2.76	3.11	2.48
	2.75	2.9	2.45
	2.71	3.02	2.43
	2.71	3.1	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.75)	3.03 ↓ (3.03)	2.45 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barquereño
33.1%

Draw
29.9%

Revilla
37%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33%

30%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

30.5%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barquereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for Revilla have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barquereño than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Revilla than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Barquereño - Revilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 11).

Barquereño has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Revilla is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Revilla has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Barquereño won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Revilla	8	5	2	1	19:11	8	17
18	CD Barquereno	8	1	2	5	6:16	-10	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Barquereño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
20.12.25	Guarnizo - Barquereño	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Barquereño - Colindres	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Selaya - Barquereño	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Barquereño - Laredo	1:7 ✺
15.11.25	Bezana - Barquereño	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LWTLW
- SD Revilla
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
20.12.25	Revilla - Noja	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Castro - Revilla	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Revilla - Cayón	2:2 ✺
19.11.25	Revilla - Colindres	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Revilla - Escobedo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
09.02.25	Revilla - Barquereño	0:0
22.11.20	Revilla - Barquereño	1:1

Barquereño - Revilla