Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 14

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Castro		Revilla

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	4.05
	1.81	3.31	4.07
	1.83	3.32	4.17
	1.83	3.1	4.2
	1.8	3.22	4.24
	1.77	3.33	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.81)	3.23 ↓ (3.26)	4.16 ↓ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castro
50%

Draw
28.1%

Revilla
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

27.9%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

26.9%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Revilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castro than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Revilla than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Castro - Revilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castro won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Revilla has had a series of home games.

In this match, Castro is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Castro won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Castro won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Castro FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
06.12.25	Guarnizo - Castro	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Castro - Colindres	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Castro - Laredo	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Bezana - Castro	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Castro - Torina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWTLW
- SD Revilla
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
06.12.25	Revilla - Cayón	2:2 ✺
19.11.25	Revilla - Colindres	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Revilla - Escobedo	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Vimenor - Revilla	4:0 ✺
01.11.25	Revilla - Tropezón	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
16.03.25	Castro - Revilla	3:1
01.11.24	Revilla - Castro	0:1
27.04.24	Revilla - Castro	1:0
17.12.23	Castro - Revilla	2:0
11.03.23	Revilla - Castro	2:1
05.11.22	Castro - Revilla	0:2
02.05.21	Revilla - Castro	1:3

Castro - Revilla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide