Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 19

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday


	Barquereño		Tropezón

	1	X	2
	8.25	4.2	1.33
	4.75	3.65	1.6
	5.08	3.7	1.63
	4.97	3.87	1.6	Watch
	4.8	3.4	1.62
	4.98	3.67	1.68
	6.66	3.8	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.64 ↑ (5.35)	3.76 ↑ (3.59)	1.56 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barquereño
16.3%

Draw
24.5%

Tropezón
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.1%

25.4%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.8%

24.9%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barquereño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Tropezón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barquereño than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tropezón than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Barquereño - Tropezón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Tropezón is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Barquereño won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tropezon	5	5	0	0	11:2	9	15
18	CD Barquereno	5	0	1	4	2:11	-9	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Barquereño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
08.02.26	Barquereño - Escobedo	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Vimenor - Barquereño	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Cartes - Barquereño	3:2 ✺
11.01.26	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Barquereño	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Barquereño - Revilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 44.1 LLLWW
- CD Tropezón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
22.02.26	Selaya - Tropezón	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Tropezón - Laredo	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Bezana - Tropezón	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Tropezón - Torina	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Tropezón - Noja	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
01.12.24	Tropezón - Barquereño	3:0
06.09.19	Tropezón - Barquereño	1:1

Barquereño - Tropezón: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide