The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barquisimeto 48.1%
Draw 26.6%
Ureña 25.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.2%
26.3%
27.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.5%
25.6%
26.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barquisimeto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Ureña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barquisimeto than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ureña than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
19', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+1', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barquisimeto won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Barquisimeto could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Ureña has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Barquisimeto holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Barquisimeto has recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:22 (averaging 1.4:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Barquisimeto against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 11:14 goals (averaging 1.2:1.6 per game).
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