Match Info

Copa Venezuela - Round 4

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Barquisimeto		Caracas

	1	X	2
	4.00	3.50	1.70
	4.2	3.45	1.72
	3.9	3.45	1.86
	4.92	4.03	1.62	Watch
	3.7	3.4	1.78
	4.28	3.45	1.73
	4.1	3.45	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.16 ↓ (4.83)	3.53 ↓ (3.8)	1.73 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barquisimeto
21.8%

Draw
25.7%

Caracas
52.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19%

24.1%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

23.5%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barquisimeto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barquisimeto than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caracas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Barquisimeto - Caracas Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Barquisimeto (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barquisimeto (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Quintero J. ⚽,
33', 0 - 2, Martinez Aponte C. A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
49', 0 - 3, Lopez A. ⚽,
62', 0 - 4, Reinoso L. ⚽,
80', 0 - 5, Figueroa A. ⚽,

Preview

Barquisimeto has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Caracas is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Barquisimeto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Caracas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Barquisimeto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barquisimeto SC
Venezuelan Segunda Division
05.09.26	Barquisimeto - Real Fronteras	5:1 ✺
02.09.26	Deportivo Lara - Barquisimeto	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Barquisimeto - Yaracuyanos	0:0 ✺
Copa Venezuela
26.08.26	Caracas - Barquisimeto	3:1 ✺
19.08.26	Aragua - Barquisimeto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLTLW
- Caracas FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
06.09.26	Trujillanos - Caracas	0:1 ✺
02.09.26	Caracas - Portuguesa Acarígua	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Deportivo Táchira - Caracas	0:0 ✺
Copa Venezuela
26.08.26	Caracas - Barquisimeto	3:1 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
21.08.26	Caracas - Carabobo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Venezuela
26.08.26	Caracas - Barquisimeto	3:1

Barquisimeto - Caracas