Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 16

Date: 4 June 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium


	Barracas Central 2		Aldosivi 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.72	3.10	4.60
	1.87	3.10	3.75	Watch
	1.76	3.29	5.21
	1.75	3.29	4.75	Watch
	1.75	3.00	4.60
	1.73	3.14	4.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.79)	3.15 ↓ (3.51)	4.64 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barracas Central 2
51.6%

Draw
28.8%

Aldosivi 2
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

26.2%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

23.5%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barracas Central 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Aldosivi 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barracas Central 2 than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barracas Central 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldosivi 2 than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aldosivi 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Barracas Central 2 - Aldosivi 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 18).

Barracas Central 2 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Aldosivi 2's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Aldosivi 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Barracas Central 2 is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Barracas Central 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Barracas Central 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barracas Central 2
Argentinian Reserve League
28.05.26	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Barracas Central 2	0:0 ✺
21.05.26	Barracas Central 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	1:1 ✺
13.05.26	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Barracas Central 2	3:2 ✺
07.05.26	Barracas Central 2 - Godoy Cruz 2	1:0 ✺
29.04.26	Gimnasia Mendoza 2 - Barracas Central 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TTLWL
- CA Aldosivi 2
Argentinian Reserve League
28.05.26	Aldosivi 2 - Talleres de Córdoba 2	0:2 ✺
19.05.26	Banfield 2 - Aldosivi 2	0:0 ✺
12.05.26	Aldosivi 2 - Rosario Central 2	1:0 ✺
07.05.26	Tigre 2 - Aldosivi 2	2:1 ✺
30.04.26	Aldosivi 2 - San Lorenzo 2	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
07.08.25	Barracas Central 2 - Aldosivi 2	1:0
11.03.25	Aldosivi 2 - Barracas Central 2	4:0
03.10.22	Barracas Central 2 - Aldosivi 2	2:2
04.03.22	Barracas Central 2 - Aldosivi 2	0:2

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