Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports


	Tigre 2		Aldosivi 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.25	3.7
	1.84	3.42	4.18
	1.84	3.36	4.07	Watch
	1.8	3.25	3.8
	1.87	3.64	3.84
	1.73	3.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.73)	3.39 ↓ (3.4)	3.93 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tigre 2
50%

Draw
26.9%

Aldosivi 2
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

26.2%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

24.4%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tigre 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Aldosivi 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigre 2 than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tigre 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldosivi 2 than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Tigre 2 - Aldosivi 2 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Aldosivi 2 (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aldosivi 2 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, ⚽,
61', 1 - 1, ⚽,
82', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 18).

Recent performances by Tigre 2 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aldosivi 2 has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Tigre 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tigre 2 is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tigre 2 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Tigre 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tigre 2
Argentinian Reserve League
28.04.26	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Tigre 2	1:2 ✺
21.04.26	Tigre 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	0:1 ✺
14.04.26	Tigre 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	0:0 ✺
09.04.26	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Tigre 2	2:2 ✺
01.04.26	Tigre 2 - Godoy Cruz 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLTTW
- CA Aldosivi 2
Argentinian Reserve League
30.04.26	Aldosivi 2 - San Lorenzo 2	1:3 ✺
22.04.26	Quilmes 2 - Aldosivi 2	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Aldosivi 2	4:0 ✺
09.04.26	Aldosivi 2 - River Plate 2	0:2 ✺
30.03.26	Racing Club 2 - Aldosivi 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
09.09.25	Tigre 2 - Aldosivi 2	1:0
09.04.25	Aldosivi 2 - Tigre 2	0:1
29.09.22	Aldosivi 2 - Tigre 2	0:2
11.03.22	Aldosivi 2 - Tigre 2	1:1

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