Match Info

ARGENTINA: RESERVE LEAGUE - SECOND STAGE - ROUND 9

Date: 4 October 2023, Wednesday


	Barracas Central 2		Independiente 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.5	3.3	1.88
				Watch
	3.78	3.32	1.96
	3.3	3.25	2
	3.62	3.34	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (3.41)	3.3 ↑ (3.29)	1.94 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barracas Central 2
25.6%

Draw
27.5%

Independiente 2
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

27.9%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

27.2%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barracas Central 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Independiente 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central 2 than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente 2 than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Barracas Central 2 - Independiente 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 6).

Barracas Central 2 is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Independiente 2 is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Barracas Central 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Independiente 2 will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Barracas Central 2 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Barracas Central 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barracas Central 2
Argentinian Reserve League
27.09.23	Colón Santa Fe 2 - Barracas Central 2	2:1 ✺
19.09.23	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Barracas Central 2	1:3 ✺
12.09.23	Barracas Central 2 - Talleres de Córdoba 2	1:4 ✺
09.09.23	Banfield 2 - Barracas Central 2	2:2 ✺
05.09.23	Barracas Central 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWLTL
- CA Independiente 2
Argentinian Reserve League
28.09.23	Independiente 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2	1:2 ✺
21.09.23	Independiente 2 - Racing Club 2	1:0 ✺
13.09.23	Instituto 2 - Independiente 2	1:0 ✺
08.09.23	Independiente 2 - Rosario Central 2	1:0 ✺
04.09.23	Huracán Buenos Aires 2 - Independiente 2	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
12.03.23	Independiente 2 - Barracas Central 2	1:1
13.10.22	Barracas Central 2 - Independiente 2	0:1
03.04.22	Barracas Central 2 - Independiente 2	3:1

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