Match Info

Reserve League - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Independiente 2		Rosario Central 2

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.35	2.18	Watch
	2.86	3.47	2.20	Watch
	2.92	3.22	2.25
	2.85	3.2	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 (2.86)	3.31 ↓ (3.47)	2.24 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente 2
31.8%

Draw
27.5%

Rosario Central 2
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

26.4%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

25.6%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Rosario Central 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente 2 than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central 2 than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Independiente 2 - Rosario Central 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Independiente 2 is Qualified for Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Rosario Central 2 is Qualified for Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Rosario Central 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente 2 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Independiente 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Independiente 2
Argentinian Reserve League
22.10.25	Deportivo Riestra 2 - Independiente 2	0:1 ✺
15.10.25	Independiente 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	5:1 ✺
09.10.25	San Martín de San Juan 2 - Independiente 2	2:1 ✺
02.10.25	Independiente 2 - Lanús 2	3:1 ✺
24.09.25	Godoy Cruz 2 - Independiente 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLWL
- Rosario Central 2
Argentinian Reserve League
22.10.25	Rosario Central 2 - San Lorenzo 2	1:2 ✺
14.10.25	Instituto 2 - Rosario Central 2	1:1 ✺
07.10.25	Rosario Central 2 - Platense 2	3:0 ✺
30.09.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Rosario Central 2	1:3 ✺
23.09.25	Rosario Central 2 - River Plate 2	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
28.05.25	Rosario Central 2 - Independiente 2	0:0
08.09.23	Independiente 2 - Rosario Central 2	1:0
10.04.23	Independiente 2 - Rosario Central 2	0:3
14.07.22	Rosario Central 2 - Independiente 2	5:1
25.04.22	Rosario Central 2 - Independiente 2	1:2

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