PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 12
Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday
Barreirense
Amora
1
X
2
4.1
3.3
1.72
4.3
3.45
1.74
4.23
3.26
1.8
4.37
3.44
1.73
4.3
3.45
1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)
4.26 ↓ (4.28)
3.38 ↓ (3.4)
1.75 (1.75)
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barreirense 21.3%
Draw 26.8%
Amora 51.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.3%
26.8%
52%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.9%
26.3%
53%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Barreirense have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Amora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barreirense than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amora than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Barreirense - Amora Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
68', 1 - 1, ⚽,
75', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 3, ⚽,
90+8', 1 - 4, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).
Recent matches Barreirense is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Amora is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
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