Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 5

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Basconia		Llanera

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.60	3.75
	1.58	3.65	4.70
	1.80	3.65	4.12
	1.73	3.7	4.18	Watch
	1.76	3.60	4.05
	1.89	3.87	3.56
	1.77	3.50	3.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.68)	3.65 ↓ (3.96)	4.01 ↓ (4.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basconia
52.2%

Draw
25%

Llanera
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

23.2%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

22.7%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basconia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Llanera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llanera than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Basconia - Llanera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 1 - 0, ⚽,
71', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Basconia is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Llanera has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Recently, Llanera has had a run of games away from home.

In this matchup, Basconia is considered the favorite to take the win.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Basconia	5	2	2	1	9:8	1	8
15	Llanera	5	1	1	3	5:10	-5	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Basconia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
27.09.26	Marino de Luanco - Basconia	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Basconia - Arosa	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Basconia - Atlético Astorga	3:2 ✺
06.09.26	Ourense CF - Basconia	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.08.26	Gernika - Basconia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTWLW
- UD Llanera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
27.09.26	Llanera - Rayo Cantabria	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Gernika - Llanera	4:0 ✺
05.09.26	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Llanera	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.08.26	Sporting de Gijón B - Llanera	2:2 ✺
14.08.26	Avilés Stadium - Llanera	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLTW

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