Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 4

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Marino de Luanco		Basconia

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.10	2.30
	2.75	3.00	2.40
	2.77	3.05	2.61
	2.85	3.12	2.41	Watch
	2.70	2.95	2.55
	2.78	3.34	2.44
	2.65	3.10	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (2.96)	3.09 ↓ (3.12)	2.44 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marino de Luanco
33.2%

Draw
29.4%

Basconia
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

28.8%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

28%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marino de Luanco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Basconia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marino de Luanco than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Marino de Luanco - Basconia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Gandiaga A. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Quiros (Penalty Awarded),
33', 1 - 2, Gandiaga A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Basconia	5	2	2	1	9:8	1	8

Last Results with these Odds

Basconia - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 40.82%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marino de Luanco
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.09.26	Atlético Astorga - Marino de Luanco	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Marino de Luanco - Ourense CF	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Compostela - Marino de Luanco	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
12.08.26	Marino de Luanco - Langreo	6:1 ✺
01.08.26	Sporting de Gijón B - Marino de Luanco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWWL
- CD Basconia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.09.26	Basconia - Arosa	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Basconia - Atlético Astorga	3:2 ✺
06.09.26	Ourense CF - Basconia	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.08.26	Gernika - Basconia	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Rayo Cantabria - Basconia	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWLWT

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