Match Info

Promotion League

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Basel II		Kriens

	1	X	2
	4.35	4.25	1.52
	4.62	4.5	1.56
	4.65	4.35	1.6	Watch
	4.33	4	1.57
	4.61	4.33	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.51 ↓ (4.71)	4.29 ↓ (4.47)	1.56 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basel II
20.2%

Draw
21.3%

Kriens
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.8%

20.8%

59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

20.4%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basel II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Kriens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basel II than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kriens than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Basel II - Kriens Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Basel II won 2.

Recent performances by Basel II have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kriens is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Kriens is the team to beat.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Basel II won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Basel II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Basel II	10	5	0	5	19:19	0	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basel II
Swiss Promotion League
02.05.26	Cham - Basel II	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Basel II - Kreuzlingen	2:4 ✺
18.04.26	Lausanne II - Basel II	0:1 ✺
15.04.26	Basel II - Schaffhausen	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Lugano II - Basel II	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TLWWL
- SC Kriens
Swiss Promotion League
02.05.26	Kriens - Bulle	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Zurich II - Kriens	0:4 ✺
18.04.26	Kriens - Luzern II	4:0 ✺
15.04.26	Brühl - Kriens	4:1 ✺
11.04.26	Kriens - Vevey	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
01.11.25	Kriens - Basel II	3:2
15.03.25	Basel II - Kriens	2:1
18.11.23	Basel II - Kriens	0:1
18.02.23	Kriens - Basel II	2:2
13.08.22	Basel II - Kriens	3:2
28.04.18	Kriens - Basel II	3:0
08.04.17	Kriens - Basel II	2:2

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