Match Info

Promotion League

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday


	Lugano II		Basel II

	1	X	2
	3.40	3.70	1.80
	3.4	3.6	1.82
	3.59	3.9	1.84
	3.57	3.99	1.85	Watch
	3.55	3.85	1.82
	3.59	3.74	1.8
	3.45	3.75	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (3.03)	3.79 ↓ (3.85)	1.83 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugano II
26%

Draw
24.1%

Basel II
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

23.5%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugano II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Basel II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Lugano II - Basel II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Ajdin G. ⚽,
13', 2 - 0, Ajdin G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 3 - 0, Frizzi R. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano II won 2.

Basel II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Basel II could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lugano II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.8:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lugano II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 2.3:2.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Basel II	10	5	0	5	19:19	0	15
15	Lugano II	10	3	0	7	15:22	-7	9

Last Results with these Odds

Lugano II - the odds 3.03 are the expected chance of winning is 29.86%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lugano II
Swiss Promotion League
29.08.26	Lugano II - Bavois	3:2 ✺
15.08.26	Lugano II - Luzern II	4:3 ✺
02.08.26	Lugano II - Bulle	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Lugano II - Young Fellows Juventus	0:1 ✺
Swiss Promotion League
30.05.26	Kreuzlingen - Lugano II	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWLLT
- Basel II
Swiss Promotion League
05.09.26	Basel II - Brühl	3:0 ✺
18.08.26	Bellinzona - Basel II	2:3 ✺
01.08.26	Kreuzlingen - Basel II	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Old Boys - Basel II	2:3 ✺
Swiss Promotion League
30.05.26	Brühl - Basel II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
11.04.26	Lugano II - Basel II	4:2
28.09.25	Basel II - Lugano II	3:2
19.04.25	Basel II - Lugano II	0:2
19.10.24	Lugano II - Basel II	1:2
11.05.24	Lugano II - Basel II	2:4
04.11.23	Basel II - Lugano II	3:0

Lugano II - Basel II: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide