Match Info

Date: 17 September 2022, Saturday


	Basel II		Stade Nyonnais

	1	X	2
	3	3.9	1.88
	3.05	3.95	1.89
	3.1	4.3	1.96
	3.1	4	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.7)	4.04 ↑ (3.95)	1.91 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basel II
29.7%

Draw
22.6%

Stade Nyonnais
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

22.9%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

24.4%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basel II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Stade Nyonnais has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel II than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade Nyonnais than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Basel II won 2.

Basel II is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Stade Nyonnais is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Stade Nyonnais will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Basel II won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Basel II won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basel II
Swiss Promotion League
10.09.22	Young Fellows Juventus - Basel II	0:5 ✺
03.09.22	Cham - Basel II	3:0 ✺
26.08.22	Basel II - Young Boys II	2:1 ✺
13.08.22	Basel II - Kriens	3:2 ✺
06.08.22	Baden - Basel II	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLWWT
- Stade Nyonnais
Swiss Promotion League
10.09.22	Stade Nyonnais - Cham	1:3 ✺
03.09.22	Young Boys II - Stade Nyonnais	1:1 ✺
31.08.22	Kriens - Stade Nyonnais	0:6 ✺
27.08.22	Stade Nyonnais - St. Gallen II	7:1 ✺
Swiss Cup
19.08.22	Stade Nyonnais - Servette	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
21.08.21	Stade Nyonnais - Basel II	4:5
10.10.20	Stade Nyonnais - Basel II	5:1
19.10.19	Basel II - Stade Nyonnais	0:2
17.03.19	Stade Nyonnais - Basel II	0:1
14.10.17	Stade Nyonnais - Basel II	2:1
18.03.17	Basel II - Stade Nyonnais	2:0
27.08.16	Stade Nyonnais - Basel II	2:1

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