Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 13

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday


	Basford United		Bamber Bridge

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	2.6
	2.26	3.5	2.7
	2.25	3.63	2.73
	2.34	3.63	2.76
	2.2	3.5	2.7
	2.25	3.44	2.75
	2.26	3.5	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.17)	3.51 ↓ (3.6)	2.71 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basford United
40.4%

Draw
25.9%

Bamber Bridge
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

25.2%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

27.1%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Bamber Bridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basford United than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bamber Bridge than the current prediction. (-3%)

Basford United - Bamber Bridge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Chambers A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
51', 2 - 0, Chambers A. ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, Weaver L. ⚽,
84', 2 - 2, Anderson T. (Own goal),
90+2', 3 - 2, Squires W. (Own goal),

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Basford won 2.

Recent matches Basford is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bamber in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bamber could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Basford won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19:9 (average 2.1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Basford won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:2 (average 2:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basford United
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Basford United - Hanley Town	3:2 penalties ✺
English NPL Premier Division
01.10.24	Basford United - Guiseley	0:2 ✺
28.09.24	Blyth Spartans - Basford United	0:2 ✺
21.09.24	Basford United - Macclesfield Town	1:4 ✺
17.09.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Basford United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLWLW
- Bamber Bridge
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Guiseley - Bamber Bridge	0:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
28.09.24	Bamber Bridge - Mickleover Sports	2:2 ✺
21.09.24	Warrington Rylands - Bamber Bridge	1:2 ✺
17.09.24	Workington - Bamber Bridge	1:2 ✺
10.09.24	Bamber Bridge - Prescot Cables	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
27.04.24	Basford United - Bamber Bridge	4:0
11.11.23	Bamber Bridge - Basford United	5:2
26.03.22	Basford United - Bamber Bridge	0:1
27.11.21	Bamber Bridge - Basford United	1:0
17.10.20	Basford United - Bamber Bridge	2:1
11.01.20	Basford United - Bamber Bridge	3:0
14.09.19	Bamber Bridge - Basford United	1:3

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