Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 9

Date: 1 October 2024, Tuesday


	Basford United		Guiseley

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.2
	2.75	3.45	2.24
	2.67	3.59	2.31
	2.75	3.62	2.35	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.2
	2.72	3.4	2.29
	2.75	3.45	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.91)	3.47 ↓ (3.52)	2.26 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basford United
33.4%

Draw
26.3%

Guiseley
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

25.8%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

25.4%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Guiseley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basford United than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guiseley than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Basford United - Guiseley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
37', 0 - 1, Johnson G. ⚽,
45', 0 - 2, Longbottom W. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Basford is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guiseley is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Guiseley have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Basford won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Basford won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basford United
English NPL Premier Division
28.09.24	Blyth Spartans - Basford United	0:2 ✺
21.09.24	Basford United - Macclesfield Town	1:4 ✺
17.09.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Basford United	0:3 ✺
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Worksop Town - Basford United	6:3 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
10.09.24	Basford United - Mickleover Sports	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWLL
- Guiseley
English FA Cup
28.09.24	Guiseley - Scunthorpe United	1:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
21.09.24	Guiseley - Worksop Town	1:2 ✺
17.09.24	Guiseley - Morpeth Town	3:3 ✺
10.09.24	Whitby Town - Guiseley	1:2 ✺
07.09.24	Guiseley - Hyde United	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
23.12.23	Basford United - Guiseley	0:1
19.08.23	Guiseley - Basford United	2:1

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