Match Info
NPL Premier Division - Round 11Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Guiseley |
|
Morpeth Town |
|
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.6 |
3.9 |
4.35 |
|
 |
1.65 |
4.02 |
4.26 |
|
 |
1.56 |
3.9 |
4.96 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↓
(1.64) |
3.94 ↑
(3.65) |
4.52 ↓
(4.56) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Guiseley
56.8% | Draw
23.1% | Morpeth Town
20.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guiseley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Morpeth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guiseley than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (-1.1%)Guiseley - Morpeth Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Thewlis J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 75', 2 - 0, Lufudu J. ⚽,
- 79', 2 - 1, Hooper J. ⚽,
- 90+2', 3 - 1, Longbottom W. ⚽,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guiseley won 2.Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Morpeth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Guiseley has had a series of away games. In this match, Guiseley is considered a favorite.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Guiseley won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 2:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Guiseley won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Guiseley - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 55.26%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| English NPL Premier Division | | | 28.01.25 | Morpeth Town - Guiseley | 2:0 | | 17.09.24 | Guiseley - Morpeth Town | 3:3 | | 17.02.24 | Guiseley - Morpeth Town | 4:1 | | 26.09.23 | Morpeth Town - Guiseley | 1:1 | | 03.12.22 | Guiseley - Morpeth Town | 1:0 | | 16.08.22 | Morpeth Town - Guiseley | 1:3 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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