Match Info

1. MFL - Round 25

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday


	Bashkimi Kumanovo		Tikveš

	1	X	2
	6.1	4.05	1.43
	4.98	4.13	1.55	Watch
	3.6	3.98	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.89 ↑ (3.29)	4.05 ↑ (3.2)	1.58 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bashkimi Kumanovo
18.8%

Draw
22.7%

Tikveš
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

29%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

28.2%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bashkimi Kumanovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bashkimi Kumanovo's form might have worsened.

Tikveš has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tikveš's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bashkimi Kumanovo than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bashkimi Kumanovo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tikveš than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tikveš, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	16.7%	75%

Bashkimi Kumanovo - Tikveš Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Tikveš will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
96. Stojkovski L. (G) 10. Alimi A. (C) 80. Avornyo E. 20. Murati A. 3. Murati R. 2. Panovski B. 77. Ribeiro L. 24. Saiti H. 5. Sumer H. 8. Trawally F. 33. Zuka F.	1. Stevkovski H. (G) 2. Camara F. 20. Guel M. 14. Lucianinho 91. Najdovski N. 6. Ramadani B. 7. Stojanov M. 24. Stojkoski K. 17. Sylla N. 23. Todorov M. 21. Varelovski A. (C)
Substitutes
22. Asani E. 19. Asani R. 1. Jasar A. (G) 6. Lichina E. 14. Limani B. 21. Manasievski D. 17. Memeti R. 4. Mislimi M. 11. Petejchuk A. 25. Saiti E. 9. Sulimani A.	34. Ackovski K. 27. Fall I. 77. Golubov D. 22. Lawal T. 10. Milovanovikj D. 11. Petrovic M. 9. Sadik B. 3. Spasovski M. 8. Tasev D. 90. Tasev S. (G) 25. Wisdom E. O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
54', 0 - 1, ⚽,
59', 1 - 1, ⚽,
73', 🟨,
75', 2 - 1, ⚽,
82', 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Bashkimi has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tikveš is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Tikveš has had a series of home games.

In this match, Tikveš is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bashkimi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Bashkimi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Tikves	8	3	4	1	17:7	10	13
9	Bashkimi	8	1	1	6	7:25	-18	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KF Bashkimi Kumanovo
North Macedonian 1 MFL
23.03.26	Shkupi - Bashkimi Kumanovo	2:3 ✺
16.03.26	Bashkimi Kumanovo - Rabotnički	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Bashkimi Kumanovo - Makedonija Gjorče Petrov	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	Shkupi - Bashkimi Kumanovo	0:2 ✺
27.02.26	Bashkimi Kumanovo - AP Brera Strumica	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWWL
- GFK Tikveš
North Macedonian 1 MFL
20.03.26	Tikveš - AP Brera Strumica	6:1 ✺
15.03.26	Tikveš - Shkupi	6:0 ✺
08.03.26	Tikveš - Pelister	1:0 ✺
04.03.26	Arsimi - Tikveš	0:5 ✺
01.03.26	Tikveš - Sileks	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian 1 MFL
23.11.25	Tikveš - Bashkimi Kumanovo	3:0
25.08.25	Bashkimi Kumanovo - Tikveš	3:1

Bashkimi Kumanovo - Tikveš: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide