Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Centralnyj Stadion (Pavlodar)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kazakhstan	Qazsport


	Ertis Pavlodar		Altai Semey

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.35	3.25	Watch
	2.12	3.19	3.27
	2.03	3.69	3.1	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.1
	2.1	3.48	3.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.45)	3.36 ↑ (3.18)	3.2 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ertis Pavlodar
44.2%

Draw
27.2%

Altai Semey
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

28.9%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ertis Pavlodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ertis Pavlodar's performance.

Altai Semey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Ertis Pavlodar - Altai Semey Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ertis will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Botnar V. (G) 27. Nechaev D. 26. Mbodj M. 5. Toleuov B. 22. Stephen G. 8. Zharynbetov S. (C) 97. Poe J. 6. Shimamura Y. 7. Klimovich V. 98. Sedko P. 18. Shvyrev V.	13. Konovalov I. (G) 4. Micevic N. 23. Kenzhegulov D. 3. Odeoyibo S. 15. Schmidt D. (C) 21. Jambor N. 18. Nazymkhanov A. 88. Ivanov S. 11. Dadaev I. 99. Stoisavljevic D. 9. Gorshunov E.
Substitutes
13. Baybosynov N. 21. Buranchiev A. 12. Karimov R. 4. Khadarkevich R. 15. Nyrkov D. 9. Omatay M. 19. Popov A. 80. Rakhmetov R. 31. Rakhmetulla E. (G) 14. Raskatov V. 17. Turlybek M. 20. Usenov A.	35. Aliakbar A. (G) 22. Dzhanuzakov A. 19. Gultyaev Z. 17. Kukeev Z. 16. Masudov Y. 70. Mitrofanov D. 77. Popov S. 6. Redzhepov T. 1. Sapargaliev A. (G) 8. Sapargaliyev A. 46. Teterin A.
Coaches
Alshevskiy K.	Masudov V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Shimamura Y. ⚽,
40', Sedko P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Stoisavljevic D. ↓, Popov S. ↑,
46', Gorshunov E. ↓, Mitrofanov D. ↑,
50', Popov S. 🟨,
60', Shvyrev V. (Penalty Awarded),
67', Ivanov S. ↓, Redzhepov T. ↑,
69', Shimamura Y. ↓, Omatay M. ↑,
77', Shvyrev V. ↓, Turlybek M. ↑,
77', Klimovich V. ↓, Buranchiev A. ↑,
81', Nazymkhanov A. ↓, Kukeev Z. ↑,
87', Nechaev D. ↓, Khadarkevich R. ↑,
90+1', Schmidt D. 🟥,

Preview

Altai may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ertis might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ertis won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Ertis won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Ertis Pavlodar	25	6	8	11	26:34	-8	26
12	Altai	26	6	7	13	26:36	-10	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ertis Pavlodar
Kazakh Premier League
20.03.26	Kyzylzhar - Ertis Pavlodar	2:2 ✺
16.03.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Atyrau	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Ordabasy - Ertis Pavlodar	2:2 ✺
Kazakh First League
24.10.25	Batyr Ekibastuz - Ertis Pavlodar	1:2 ✺
17.10.25	Altai Semey - Ertis Pavlodar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TTTWT
- Altai Semey
Kazakh Premier League
22.03.26	Altai Semey - Kaspiy Aktau	0:0 ✺
16.03.26	Yelimay Semey - Altai Semey	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Altai Semey - Kairat	0:1 ✺
Kazakh First League
24.10.25	Altai Semey - Akademiya Ontustik	4:1 ✺
17.10.25	Altai Semey - Ertis Pavlodar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
17.10.25	Altai Semey - Ertis Pavlodar	1:1
11.07.25	Ertis Pavlodar - Altai Semey	1:2

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