Match Info

KAZAKHSTAN: First Division - Round 9

Date: 30 May 2024, Thursday


	Batyr Ekibastuz		Zhetisay

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3
	1.91	3.4	3.2
	1.85	3.62	3.57
	2.1	3.4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.53)	3.46 ↑ (3.16)	3.19 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Batyr Ekibastuz
45.5%

Draw
26.2%

Zhetisay
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

28.6%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

30.2%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Batyr Ekibastuz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Batyr Ekibastuz's performance.

Zhetisay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zhetisay might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Batyr Ekibastuz than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Batyr Ekibastuz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhetisay than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zhetisay could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Golubnichiy M. (G) 5. Suleymenov A. 25. Rudoselskiy T. 18. Gorizanov K. 23. Kasain A. 87. Kairkenov Z. 14. Seitov A. 80. Skvortsov A. 24. Agimanov T. 19. Umirzak D. 47. Kakimov A.	1. Mukhambetzhanuly M. (G) 13. Malikaydar S. 4. Sarbay E. 2. Mazhitov D. 6. Kalibay B. 23. Mukhituly K. 9. Serikkul R. 22. Kospayev Y. 28. Asatulla A. 20. Abylaykhan R. 70. Ryskul B.
Substitutes
8. Abaev F. 21. Berdesh N. 13. Duysenbeck D. 7. Kakenov D. 97. Nurlan A. 12. Ospanbay M. 30. Rikhard M. (G) 17. Suslov D. 20. Yermekov K.	74. Abdukhalyk A. (G) 11. Aytore E. 10. Kudaybergen D. 8. Narzilda B. 77. Orazbek K. 5. Shamshidin A. 17. Zuftarov T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Agimanov T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 1, Rudoselskiy T. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Recent matches Ekibastuz is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zhetisay is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ekibastuz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ekibastuz have a series of guest games.

Recently Zhetisay have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Batyr Ekibastuz
Kazakh First League
22.05.24	Taraz - Batyr Ekibastuz	2:1 ✺
09.05.24	Turkistan - Batyr Ekibastuz	0:3 ✺
03.05.24	Ulytau - Batyr Ekibastuz	2:1 ✺
25.04.24	Batyr Ekibastuz - Aktobe 2	3:0 ✺
18.04.24	Kaisar 2 - Batyr Ekibastuz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWT
- Zhetisay FC
Kazakh First League
24.05.24	Zhetisay - Kaisar 2	4:0 ✺
16.05.24	Akzhayik - Zhetisay	1:2 ✺
10.05.24	Zhetisay - Kaspiy Aktau	0:0 ✺
02.05.24	Zhetisay - Turkistan	5:2 ✺
10.04.24	Zhetisay - Okzhetpes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.9 WWTWW

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